Keo tren, hay con goi la keo chap, luon la mot trong nhung lua chon hap dan nhat doi voi nguoi choi ca cuoc bong da. No khong chi mang lai ty le thuong cao hon so voi keo dong banh hay keo tai xiu don thuan, ma con tao ra su kich tinh, doi hoi nguoi choi phai phan tich sau sac hon ve tuong quan luc luong hai doi. Tuy nhien, viec chon dung keo tren khong he de dang. Dau la ranh gioi giua mot keo chap hop ly va mot keo "bay" duoc nha cai giang ra? Bai viet nay se chia se nhung meo chon keo tren hieu qua, giup ban tu tin hon khi dat cuoc.



Hieu Ro Ban Chat Keo Chap keonhacai: Khong Chi La Chenh Lech Ty So



Truoc khi di sau vao meo chon, dieu quan trong nhat la phai nam vung cach thuc hoat dong cua keo chap. Keo chap the hien su chenh lech ve dang cap gia dinh giua hai doi. Neu doi A chap doi B 1 trai (-1), dieu do co nghia la doi A can thang voi cach biet tu 2 ban tro len thi nguoi choi dat cuoc cho doi A moi thang keo.



Van de cot loi khi chon keo tren la phai danh gia xem lieu doi cua tren co du suc de vuot qua muc chap do hay khong, dua tren phong do thuc te, khong chi dua vao ten tuoi.



1. Phan Tich Phong Do Gan Day: Du Lieu Quan Trong Hon Danh Tieng



Nhieu nguoi choi bi cuon theo ten tuoi lon nhu Real Madrid hay Manchester City va mac nhien tin rang ho se thang dam. Tuy nhien, phong do hien tai moi la yeu to quyet dinh.



Chuoi tran gan nhat: Doi cua tren co dang trong giai doan thang lien tuc hay vua trai qua chuoi tran hoa that vong? Mot doi vua thang 5 tran lien tiep thuong tu tin hon va de dang chap nhan rui ro tan cong hon so voi doi chi thang duoc 1/5 tran gan nhat.

Hieu suat ghi ban va thung luoi: Hay xem xet so ban thang trung binh ma doi chap ghi duoc trong 3-5 tran gan nhat va so ban thua trung binh cua doi cua duoi. Neu doi chap chi thang sit sao 1-0 hoac 2-1 trong khi chap 1.5 trai, do la mot tin hieu dang ngo.



2. Yeu To San Nha va Lich Su Doi Dau



San nha dong vai tro cuc ky quan trong, dac biet trong cac giai dau ma khan gia co suc anh huong lon. Mot doi co the choi phong ngu co cum khi da san khach nhung lai ap dao hoan toan khi thi dau tai "thanh dia" cua minh.



Khi soi keo tren, hay uu tien nhung doi co thanh tich san nha an tuong, dac biet khi doi dau voi nhung doi thu yeu hon thuong xuyen bi lep ve khi phai hanh quan xa nha.



Lich su doi dau cung cap cai nhin dai han. Lieu doi cua tren co thuong xuyen "nga ngua" truoc doi thu nay du duoc danh gia cao hon khong? Neu doi cua duoi co "khac tinh" la doi cua tren, dieu nay co the anh huong den tam ly thi dau Cach ca do bong da khong thua.



3. Xem Xet Muc Tieu Cua Tran Dau: Dong Luc Quyet Dinh Muc Chap



Dong luc thi dau la linh hon cua bat ky tran cau nao. Viec doi cua tren co can phai thang dam hay chi can mot chien thang toi thieu se anh huong truc tiep den cach ho tiep can tran dau.



Truong hop can thang dam: Neu doi cua tren dang canh tranh chuc vo dich hoac can cai thien hieu so ban thang bai de vuot qua doi thu truc tiep, ho se doc suc tan cong ngay tu dau va san sang chap sau. Day la thoi diem vang de chon keo tren.

Truong hop chi can giu suc hoac hoa: Neu doi cua tren da chac suat di tiep tai cup chau Au hoac da vo dich, ho co xu huong xoay tua doi hinh, thi dau voi tam ly thoai mai hon, de dan den viec khong the vuot qua muc chap cao.



4. Danh Gia Su Thay Doi Cua Ty Le Keo (Bien Dong Keo)



Trong ca cuoc bong da, su dich chuyen cua ty le keo chinh la "tieng noi" tham lang cua thi truong va thong tin noi bo.



Khi mot tran dau sap dien ra, neu ty le chap cua doi cua tren bat ngo tang len (vi du: tu chap 0.75 len chap 1.0), dieu nay thuong phan anh su tu tin lon tu phia nha cai, hoac co tin tuc tich cuc ve luc luong cua doi cua tren ma so dong chua nam bat duoc. Nguoc lai, neu keo chap giam manh, hay can than, co the co tin tuc xau ve chan thuong hoac van de noi bo.



5. Canh Giac Voi Keo Chap "Qua Dep"



Day la meo quan trong nhat khi chon keo tren: Dung tham lam nhung muc chap qua cao so voi tuong quan luc luong.



Vi du, mot doi bong trung binh kha dang chap mot doi nhom cuoi bang toi -1.5 hoac -1.75. Neu lich su doi dau cho thay doi manh nay thuong chi thang sit sao 1 ban, thi muc chap nay co the la cai bay. Nha cai co tinh day keo chap len cao de thu hut nguoi choi tin vao suc manh be noi, trong khi thuc te, doi cua tren chi nham den chien thang an toan. Hay tim keo tren nao co muc chap phan anh dung suc manh va dong luc cua ho.



Chon keo tren la nghe thuat can bang giua niem tin vao doi manh va su hoai nghi doi voi nhung con so duoc dua ra. Bang cach ap dung cac phan tich ve phong do, dong luc va theo doi sat sao bien dong thi truong, ban se co co hoi toi uu hoa loi nhuan tu nhung lua chon keo chap cua minh.